Which Duttons Survive 1923? The Family Tree Just Got Even More Twisted!

Just when you thought the Dutton family tree was complicated enough, 1923 has shaken things up with shocking exits, unexpected twists, and an uncertain future.

The real question isn’t just who survives—it’s whether we even understood the family tree correctly in the first place. Some fates seem sealed, while others are still up in the air. So, who makes it through 1923, and who gets erased from the Dutton legacy? Let’s break it down.

The Dutton Family’s History of Heartbreak

The Dutton family saga has always been marked by loss and survival.

In 1883, the first major loss came with Claire and her daughter Mary Abel, though their departure didn’t exactly leave fans heartbroken. Their exit, however, set the tone—no Dutton is safe.
Elsa Dutton’s tragic death sealed the family’s fate, forcing James and Margaret Dutton to settle in Montana, where the Yellowstone ranch was born.
Fast forward 40 years to 1923, and we find a whole new generation of Duttons struggling to hold onto their land and legacy.

But 1923 has done more than introduce new faces—it’s challenged everything we thought we knew about the Dutton lineage.

The Confusing Family Tree

Elsa’s two brothers, John Dutton Sr. and Spencer Dutton, were introduced as key figures in 1923. John Sr. remained on the ranch, while Spencer built a life far away in Africa. Meanwhile, John Sr.’s son, Jack, was preparing to marry Elizabeth, seemingly securing the future of the family.

But here’s the problem: the existing Dutton family tree doesn’t even list John Dutton Sr.’s death. If the family history was already uncertain, 1923 has only made things murkier.

According to what we’ve been told, Jack and Elizabeth’s son, John Dutton II, is the father of John Dutton III (played by Kevin Costner in Yellowstone). But is that really the case? Could the family tree be misleading us?

Who Will Survive 1923?

With Season 2 on the horizon, one thing is certain—not everyone is making it out alive. This is the Yellowstone universe, after all, and Taylor Sheridan isn’t afraid to kill off major characters.

Between the brutal Montana winter, the ranch under attack, and Spencer and Alexandra facing a dangerous journey, the Duttons are in serious danger.

But there’s one character fans believe has “plot armor” strong enough to survive it all: Spencer Dutton.

Elsa’s Prophecy: The Clue to Spencer’s Fate?

From the very beginning, Elsa Dutton’s narration has been guiding us through this saga. She once predicted that only one of James and Margaret’s children would live long enough to carry the family through the Great Depression and beyond.

We already know John Dutton Sr. doesn’t make it past Season 1. That leaves only Spencer.

Fans on Reddit have been piecing together clues, pointing out that Spencer is the only Dutton child born in Montana, which aligns with Elsa’s prophecy. One fan put it bluntly:

“Elsa and John are dead. Spencer is the only one left to carry the Dutton name forward.”

The Big Problem: Alexandra Is Missing

If Spencer is destined to carry on the Dutton name, there’s just one major issue—his love interest, Alexandra, is completely missing from the official family tree.

No marriage records.
No mention of children.
No trace of her in the Dutton lineage.

Does this mean Spencer’s story doesn’t go much further? Is Alexandra’s absence a hint that Spencer’s fate is sealed?

Jack Dutton Might Be the Real Survivor

While Spencer has the skills to survive, 1923 seems to be pushing Jack as the future leader of the family. If he survives, he’ll be the one to carry on the Dutton name, making him the grandfather of Kevin Costner’s John Dutton III in Yellowstone.

And Elsa’s prophecy? It could technically refer to Jack, not Spencer, since Jack has already grown into adulthood and is on the verge of marriage.

Will 1923 Change Everything?

If there’s one thing Yellowstone and its spin-offs have proven, it’s that history isn’t always what we think it is.

The Dutton family tree might not be as accurate as we’ve been led to believe. With so many twists and character deaths, Taylor Sheridan is clearly setting us up for a shocking revelation in 1923 Season 2.

So, who really survives? Is Spencer the key to the Dutton legacy, or has history been guiding us toward Jack all along?

What Do You Think?

Will Spencer survive, or is his fate sealed?
Is the Dutton family tree hiding even more secrets?
Could Alexandra’s absence hint at Spencer’s downfall?

Let us know your thoughts in the comments below, and don’t forget to subscribe for more Yellowstone updates!